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An archer hits a target 50% of the time. Design and use a simulation to find the experimental probability that the archer hits the target exactly four of the next five times.


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Sagot :

Given:

An archer hits a target 50% of the time.

To find:

The experimental probability that the archer hits the target exactly four of the next five times.

Solution:

It is given that an archer hits a target 50% of the time. It means the probability of hitting the target is

[tex]p=\dfrac{50}{100}[/tex]

[tex]p=0.5[/tex]

The probability of not hitting the target is

[tex]q=1-p[/tex]

[tex]q=1-0.5[/tex]

[tex]q=0.5[/tex]

Binomial distribution formula:

[tex]P(x=r)=^nC_rp^rq^{n-r}[/tex]

We need to find the probability that the archer hits the target exactly four of the next five times. So, [tex]n=5,r=4,p=0.5,q=0.5[/tex].

[tex]P(x=4)=^5C_4(0.5)^4(0.5)^{5-4}[/tex]

[tex]P(x=4)=\dfrac{5!}{4!(5-4)!}(0.5)^4(0.5)^{1}[/tex]

[tex]P(x=4)=5(0.5)^{5}[/tex]

[tex]P(x=4)=0.15625[/tex]

Therefore, the experimental probability that the archer hits the target exactly four of the next five times is 0.15625.