Answered

At Westonci.ca, we provide reliable answers to your questions from a community of experts. Start exploring today! Connect with a community of experts ready to help you find solutions to your questions quickly and accurately. Our platform offers a seamless experience for finding reliable answers from a network of knowledgeable professionals.

Exercise 11.4.3: Detecting a biased coin. About A gambler has a coin which is either fair (equal probability heads or tails) or is biased with a probability of heads equal to 0.3. Without knowing which coin he is using, you ask him to flip the coin 10 times. If the number of heads is at least 4, you conclude that the coin is fair. If the number of heads is less than 4, you conclude that the coin is biased. (a) What is the probability you reach an incorrect conclusion if the coin is fair

Sagot :

fichoh

Answer:

0.17189

0.3504

Step-by-step explanation:

For a fair coin ; p = 0.5

1 - p = 0.5

P(x < 4) = p(x = 0) + p(x =1) + p(x = 2) + p(x = 3)

Recall:

P(x =x) = nCx * p^x * (1 - p)^(n - x)

Using a calculator to save time:

P(x <4) = 0.00098 + 0.00977 + 0.04395 + 0.11719

P(x < 4) = 0.17189

For a unfair coin :

p = 0.3 ; 1 - p = 1 - 0. 3 = 0.7

P(x ≥ 4) = p(x=4)+p(x =5)+p(x=6)+p(x=7)+p(x=8)+p(x=9) +P(x=10)

Recall:

P(x =x) = nCx * p^x * (1 - p)^(n - x)

Using a calculator to save time:

P(x ≥4) = 0.3504

Your visit means a lot to us. Don't hesitate to return for more reliable answers to any questions you may have. Thank you for visiting. Our goal is to provide the most accurate answers for all your informational needs. Come back soon. We're dedicated to helping you find the answers you need at Westonci.ca. Don't hesitate to return for more.