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On a particular game show, there are 8 covered buckets and 2 of them contain a ball.
To win the game, a contestant must select both buckets that contain a ball. Find the
probability that a contestant wins the game if he/she gets to select 4 of the buckets.


Sagot :

Answer:

0.2143 = 21.43% probability that a contestant wins the game if he/she gets to select 4 of the buckets.

Step-by-step explanation:

The buckets are chosen without replacement, which means that the hypergeometric distribution is used to solve this question.

Hypergeometric distribution:

The probability of x sucesses is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}*C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

In which:

x is the number of sucesses.

N is the size of the population.

n is the size of the sample.

k is the total number of desired outcomes.

Combinations formula:

[tex]C_{n,x}[/tex] is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

In this question:

8 covered buckets, so N = 8.

4 buckets are selected, so n = 4.

2 contain a ball, which means that k = 2.

Find the probability that a contestant wins the game if he/she gets to select 4 of the buckets.

This is P(X = 2). So

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}*C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 2) = h(2,8,4,2) = \frac{C_{2,2}*C_{6,2}}{C_{8,2}} = 0.2143[/tex]

0.2143 = 21.43% probability that a contestant wins the game if he/she gets to select 4 of the buckets.