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A poll is given, showing 60% are in favor of a new building project.

If 7 people are chosen at random, what is the probability that exactly 5 of them favor the new building project?


Sagot :

Answer:  0.2612736

Round this value however you need to.

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Explanation:

  • n = 7 = sample size
  • p = 0.60 = probability of someone being in favor
  • k = 5 = number of people in favor

We use the binomial distribution here. The formula for that is

P(k) = (n C k)*(p)^k*(1-p)^(n-k)

where the n C k refers to the nCr combination formula

[tex]_n C _r = \frac{n!}{r!*(n-r)!}[/tex]

simply replace r with k.

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So,

P(k) = (n C k)*(p)^k*(1-p)^(n-k)

P(5) = (7 C 5)*(0.6)^5*(1-0.6)^(7-5)

P(5) = 21*(0.6)^5*(0.4)^(2)

P(5) = 21*0.07776*0.16

P(5) = 0.2612736

This decimal value is exact (meaning there aren't any other digits after that last '6'). Round this value however you need to.

There's roughly a 26.1% chance of getting exactly 5 people to be in favor of the project.