Explore Westonci.ca, the top Q&A platform where your questions are answered by professionals and enthusiasts alike. Get detailed and accurate answers to your questions from a community of experts on our comprehensive Q&A platform. Get detailed and accurate answers to your questions from a dedicated community of experts on our Q&A platform.
Sagot :
Answer:
2.-P = 0.38
3.-P [ Lb | Wt ] = 0.788
Step-by-step explanation:
1.-Probability of choosing any box is, 1/3. So the probability of choosing the lucky box is 1/3
Let´s say the lucky box is the number 2 box ( that consideration does not in any way change the problem generality)
Then we have
p₁ probability of choosing box 1 is 1/3 p₁´ Probability of win ticket is 0.12
p₂ probability of choosing box 2 is 1/3 p₂´Probability of win ticket is 0.90
p₃ probability of choosing box 3 is 1/3 p₃´ Probability of win ticket is 0.12
Then
P (of choosing a winning ticket is) = p₁*p₁´ + p₂*p₂´ + p₃*p₃´
P = 1/3*0.12 + 1/3*0.9 + 1/3*0.12
P = 0.04 + 0.3 + 0.04
P = 0.38
3.- if I draw a winning ticket what is the probability it came from Lucky box
According to Bayes theorem
P [ Lb | Wt ] = P(Lb) * P[ Wt|Lb]/ P(Wt)
P(Lb) = 1/3 = 0.33333
P[Wt|Lb] = 0.9
P(Wt) = 0.38
Then By substitution
P [ Lb | Wt ] = 0.333 * 0.9 / 0.38
P [ Lb | Wt ] = 0.788
We appreciate your time. Please revisit us for more reliable answers to any questions you may have. Thanks for using our service. We're always here to provide accurate and up-to-date answers to all your queries. Stay curious and keep coming back to Westonci.ca for answers to all your burning questions.