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Assuming the probability of a single sample testing positive is 0.15​, find the probability of a positive result for two samples combined into one mixture. Is the probability low enough so that further testing of the individual samples is rarely​ necessary?

Sagot :

MrRoyal

Answer:

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture) = 0.2775[/tex]

The probability is not low

Step-by-step explanation:

Given

[tex]P(Single\ Positive) = 0.15[/tex]

[tex]n = 2[/tex]

Required

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture)[/tex]

First, we calculate the probability of single negative using the complement rule

[tex]P(Single\ Negative) = 1 - P(Single\ Positive)[/tex]

[tex]P(Single\ Negative) = 1 - 0.15[/tex]

[tex]P(Single\ Negative) = 0.85[/tex]

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture)[/tex] is calculated using:

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture) = 1 - P(All\ Negative)[/tex] ---- i.e. complement rule

So, we have:

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture) = 1 - 0.85^2[/tex]

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture) = 1 - 0.7225[/tex]

[tex]P(Positive\ Mixture) = 0.2775[/tex]

Probabilities less than 0.05 are considered low.

So, we can consider that the probability is not low because 0.2775 > 0.05

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