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A committee of three is chosen from five councilors - Ahmed, Bob, Cobb,
Dean and Evans. What is the probability Bob is on the committee?


Sagot :

Using the hypergeometric distribution, it is found that there is a 0.6 = 60% probability Bob is on the committee.

The members of the committee are chosen without replacement, hence the hypergeometric distribution is used.

What is the hypergeometric distribution formula?

The formula is:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • N is the size of the population.
  • n is the size of the sample.
  • k is the total number of desired outcomes.

In this problem:

  • There are 5 people, hence N = 5.
  • 3 will be chosen, hence n = 3.
  • Bob is one of the people, hence k = 1.

The probability Bob is on the committee is P(X = 1), hence:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 1) = h(1,5,3,1) = \frac{C_{1,1}C_{4,2}}{C_{5,3}} = 0.6[/tex]

0.6 = 60% probability Bob is on the committee.

You can learn more about the hypergeometric distribution at brainly.com/question/4818951