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10. Contacts. Assume that 30% of students at a university
wear contact lenses.
a) We randomly pick 100 students. Let represent the
proportion of students in this sample who wear con-
tacts. What's the appropriate model for the distribu-
tion of p? Specify the name of the distribution, the
mean, and the standard deviation. Be sure to verify
that the conditions are met.
b) What's the approximate probability that more than
one third of this sample wear contacts?

Sagot :

Using the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, we have that:

a) A normal model with mean 0.3 and standard deviation of 0.0458 should be used.

b) There is a 0.2327 = 23.27% probability that more than one third of this sample wear contacts.

Normal Probability Distribution

In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • By the Central Limit Theorem, for a proportion p in a sample of size n, the sampling distribution of sample proportion is approximately normal with mean [tex]\mu = p[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}[/tex], as long as [tex]np \geq 10[/tex] and [tex]n(1 - p) \geq 10[/tex].

In this problem:

  • 30% of students at a university wear contact lenses, hence p = 0.3.
  • We randomly pick 100 students, hence n = 100.

Item a:

[tex]np = 100(0.3) = 30 \geq 10[/tex]

[tex]n(1 - p) = 100(0.7) = 70 \geq 10[/tex]

Hence a normal model is appropriated.

The mean and the standard deviation are given as follows:

[tex]\mu = p = 0.3[/tex]

[tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.3(0.7)}{100}} = 0.0458[/tex]

Item b:

The probability is 1 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 1/3 = 0.3333, hence:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

By the Central Limit Theorem

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{0.3333 - 0.3}{0.0458}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.73[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.73[/tex] has a p-value of 0.7673.

1 - 0.7673 = 0.2327.

0.2327 = 23.27% probability that more than one third of this sample wear contacts.

To learn more about the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, you can take a look at https://brainly.com/question/24663213