If the p-value is smaller than the level of significance, what conclusion should we reach?

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03-08-2022
Mathematics

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If the p-value is smaller than the level of significance, what conclusion should we reach?

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KarpaT KarpaT · Answer 1 · 2022-08-05T14:14:53-04:00

If the p-value is smaller than the level of significance, then it indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, as there is less than a 5% probability the null hypothesis is correct.

In this question,

A p-value is a probability, calculated after running a statistical test on data and it lies between 0 and 1. The p-value only tells you how likely the data you have observed is occurred under the null hypothesis.

One of the most commonly used p-value is 0.05. If the value is greater than 0.05, the null hypothesis is considered to be true. If the calculated p-value turns out to be less than 0.05, the null hypothesis is considered to be false, or nullified (hence the name null hypothesis).

A small p-value (< 0.05 in general) means that the observed results are unusual, assuming that they were due to chance only. Now, the smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence that should reject the null hypothesis.

Hence we can conclude that if the p-value is smaller than the level of significance, then it indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, as there is less than a 5% probability the null hypothesis is correct.

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