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Many electronics follow a failure rate described by an exponential probability density function (PDF). Solar panels are advertised to last 20 years or longer, but panels made in China are failing at a higher rate. The time-to-failure of this device is usually exponentially distributed with mean 12 years What is the probability of failure in the first 8 years?

Sagot :

Given: Many electronics follow a failure rate described by an exponential probability density function (PDF). Solar panels are advertised to last 20 years or longer, but panels made in China are failing at a higher rate. The time-to-failure of this device is usually exponentially distributed, with a mean of 12 years.

Required: To determine the probability of failure in the first 8 years.

Explanation: Acording to the question,

[tex]\begin{gathered} \frac{1}{\lambda}=12 \\ \lambda=\frac{1}{12} \end{gathered}[/tex]

As we know,

The cumulative distributive function will be:

[tex]1-e^{-\lambda x}[/tex]

Hence, In the first 8 years the probability of failure is

[tex]\begin{gathered} P(X<8)=1-e^{-\frac{8}{12}} \\ =1-0.5134 \\ =0.4865 \end{gathered}[/tex]

Final Answer: The probability of failure in the first 8 years is 0.4865.