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The depreciation of South Africa's rand leads to an increase in net exports due to the lower price of its goods in the international market. This scenario can be analyzed using the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply (AD-AS) model to understand the impact on the economy comprehensively.
In the short run, the increase in net exports will result in an outward shift of the Aggregate Demand curve. As foreign customers are attracted by the cheaper steel prices, the demand for South African exports increases. This leads to an increase in real GDP as firms produce more to meet the higher demand for their goods and services. With the increase in output, there will be an increase in employment and a decrease in the unemployment rate.
Furthermore, the increase in net exports will also lead to an increase in the price level due to the higher demand for South African goods in the international market. This increase in the price level will result in a movement along the Aggregate Supply curve as firms adjust their prices to reflect the higher demand for their goods.
In the long run, the increase in net exports can have mixed effects on the economy. While it can lead to an increase in economic growth and employment in the short run, it can also have inflationary pressures if the economy operates at or near full capacity. This could lead to a contractionary macroeconomic policy response to control inflation, which may offset some of the initial gains from the increase in net exports.
Overall, the increase in net exports due to the depreciation of the rand can have a positive impact on the South African economy in the short run by boosting economic growth and employment. However, in the long run, policymakers need to be cautious of potential inflationary pressures and design appropriate policies to sustain the benefits of increased exports while managing inflation effectively.
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