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This table shows the population of owls in a park over different years. The quadratic regression equation modeling these data is:

[tex]\[ y = -1.34x^2 + 10.75x - 11.3 \][/tex]

| Year (x) | Number of owls (y) |
|----------|---------------------|
| 1 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 14 |
| 5 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 |

Using this model, the predicted number of owls in year 10 is about -38. Does this prediction make sense? Why or why not?

A. Yes, because the owl population is endangered.
B. Yes, because that is the result of substituting [tex]\( x = 10 \)[/tex].
C. No, because the owls went to live somewhere else.
D. No, because the population cannot be negative.

Sagot :

To answer this question, we need to evaluate the quadratic regression equation given:
[tex]\[ y = -1.34x^2 + 10.75x - 11.3 \][/tex]
for [tex]\( x = 10 \)[/tex].

First, substitute [tex]\( x = 10 \)[/tex] into the equation:
[tex]\[ y = -1.34(10)^2 + 10.75(10) - 11.3 \][/tex]

Calculate [tex]\((10)^2\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ (10)^2 = 100 \][/tex]

Then multiply this by [tex]\(-1.34\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ -1.34 \times 100 = -134 \][/tex]

Now multiply [tex]\( 10.75 \times 10 \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ 10.75 \times 10 = 107.5 \][/tex]

Now, substitute these values back into the equation:
[tex]\[ y = -134 + 107.5 - 11.3 \][/tex]

Add these together:
[tex]\[ y = -134 + 107.5 - 11.3 = -37.8 \][/tex]

So, the predicted number of owls for year 10 using this model is approximately [tex]\( -37.8 \)[/tex].

Let's analyze this result: a population number cannot be negative because it doesn't make sense to have a negative count of living organisms. Therefore, even though the calculation gives us a result mathematically, a negative value for the population of owls is not feasible in a real-world scenario.

Given the options provided:
A. Yes, because the owl population is endangered.
B. Yes, because that is the result of substituting [tex]\( x=10 \)[/tex].
C. No, because the owls went to live somewhere else.

The correct answer is:
None of the given choices appropriately explain why a negative population makes sense. This model's result suggests that the population cannot be negative. Therefore, the correct statement would be: "No, because a population cannot be negative."
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