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At a factory, weekly wages ([tex]\( w \)[/tex]) are normally distributed with a mean of [tex]$400 and a standard deviation of $[/tex]50. Find the probability that a randomly selected worker makes between [tex]$350 and $[/tex]500.

Sagot :

To find the probability that a randomly selected worker makes between [tex]$350 and $[/tex]500, we can model this problem using the properties of the normal distribution, given that weekly wages are normally distributed with a mean of [tex]$400 and a standard deviation of $[/tex]50.

Here's the detailed step-by-step solution:

1. Define the parameters of the normal distribution:
- Mean ([tex]$\mu$[/tex]): [tex]$400 - Standard Deviation ($[/tex]\sigma[tex]$): $[/tex]50

2. Convert the actual wages to standard normal (Z) scores:
- The Z-score is calculated by using the formula:
[tex]\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \][/tex]
where [tex]\(X\)[/tex] is the value of interest, [tex]\(\mu\)[/tex] is the mean, and [tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex] is the standard deviation.

3. Calculate the Z-score for the lower wage bound ([tex]$350$[/tex]):
- [tex]\[ Z_{\text{lower}} = \frac{350 - 400}{50} = \frac{-50}{50} = -1.0 \][/tex]

4. Calculate the Z-score for the upper wage bound ([tex]$500$[/tex]):
- [tex]\[ Z_{\text{upper}} = \frac{500 - 400}{50} = \frac{100}{50} = 2.0 \][/tex]

5. Determine the probabilities corresponding to these Z-scores:
- The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a standard normal distribution gives us the probability that a value is less than or equal to a given Z-score.

- Let's denote:
- [tex]\(P(Z \leq -1.0)\)[/tex] as the probability that a value is less than or equal to [tex]\(-1.0\)[/tex]
- [tex]\(P(Z \leq 2.0)\)[/tex] as the probability that a value is less than or equal to [tex]\(2.0\)[/tex]

6. Find the area under the normal curve between these Z-scores:
The probability that a value falls between the Z-scores is given by:
[tex]\[ P(-1.0 \leq Z \leq 2.0) = P(Z \leq 2.0) - P(Z \leq -1.0) \][/tex]

7. Convert the Z-scores back to the cumulative probability values:
- Probability for [tex]\( P(Z \leq 2.0) \)[/tex] = 0.9772
- Probability for [tex]\( P(Z \leq -1.0) \)[/tex] = 0.1587

8. Calculate the final probability:
[tex]\[ P(350 \leq w \leq 500) = 0.9772 - 0.1587 = 0.8185 \][/tex]

So, the probability that a worker selected at random makes between [tex]$350$[/tex] and [tex]$500$[/tex] is approximately [tex]\(0.8185\)[/tex], or 81.85%.