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Mr. Sabol has a collection of 12 pens and 18 pencils in his desk drawer.

If he randomly chooses two writing implements from his desk drawer without replacement, what is the probability that he will choose a pencil first and then a pen?

A. [tex]\frac{11}{50}[/tex]
B. [tex]\frac{36}{145}[/tex]
C. [tex]\frac{18}{29}[/tex]
D. [tex]\frac{9}{25}[/tex]

Sagot :

To determine the probability that Mr. Sabol will choose a pencil first and then a pen without replacement from his collection of 12 pens and 18 pencils, we need to follow these steps:

1. Calculate the total number of writing implements:
- Pens: 12
- Pencils: 18
- Total items = Pens + Pencils = 12 + 18 = 30

2. Determine the probability of choosing a pencil first:
- The probability of choosing a pencil first is the number of pencils divided by the total number of items.
[tex]\[ \text{Probability of choosing a pencil first} = \frac{\text{Number of pencils}}{\text{Total number of items}} = \frac{18}{30} = 0.6 \][/tex]

3. Determine the probability of choosing a pen second after a pencil has been chosen:
- After choosing a pencil, one item is removed, so the total number of items left is 29.
- The number of pens remains 12.
- The probability of choosing a pen after a pencil has been chosen is the number of pens divided by the remaining total number of items.
[tex]\[ \text{Probability of choosing a pen second} = \frac{\text{Number of pens}}{\text{Remaining total number of items}} = \frac{12}{29} \approx 0.41379310344827586 \][/tex]

4. Calculate the combined probability:
- The combined probability is the product of the individual probabilities.
[tex]\[ \text{Combined probability} = \left(\frac{18}{30}\right) \times \left(\frac{12}{29}\right) = 0.6 \times 0.41379310344827586 \approx 0.2482758620689655 \][/tex]

5. Convert the combined probability to a fraction and simplify:
- Converting the combined probability to a fraction and simplifying it gives:
[tex]\[ 0.2482758620689655 = \frac{36}{145} \][/tex]

Thus, the probability that Mr. Sabol will choose a pencil first and then a pen is \(\frac{36}{145}\).

Answer:
[tex]\[ \boxed{B. \frac{36}{145}} \][/tex]
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