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\begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|}
\hline & Positive Test & Negative Test \\
\hline Subject is diabetic & 35 & 3 \\
\hline Subject is not diabetic & 5 & 28 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

A test subject is randomly selected for a diabetes test. What is the probability of getting a subject who is not diabetic, given that the test result is negative? Find the probability using the data table.

A. 0.10
B. 0.12
C. 0.50
D. 0.90


Sagot :

To find the probability of selecting a subject who is not diabetic given that the test result is negative, we need to use the concept of conditional probability. We are given a table with information about diabetic and non-diabetic subjects and their test results.

The data table shows:
- 3 diabetic subjects with a negative test result.
- 28 not diabetic subjects with a negative test result.
- Total number of subjects with a negative test result = 3 (diabetic) + 28 (not diabetic).

Let's denote:
- [tex]\( A = \text{Subject is not diabetic} \)[/tex]
- [tex]\( B = \text{Test result is negative} \)[/tex]

We are looking for [tex]\( P(A|B) \)[/tex], the probability that a subject is not diabetic given that their test result is negative. This can be found using the formula for conditional probability:

[tex]\[ P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \][/tex]

Where:
- [tex]\( P(A \cap B) \)[/tex] is the probability that a subject is not diabetic and has a negative test result.
- [tex]\( P(B) \)[/tex] is the probability that a subject has a negative test result.

From the data:
- [tex]\( P(A \cap B) \)[/tex] is represented by the number of not diabetic subjects with a negative test result, which is 28.
- [tex]\( P(B) \)[/tex] is represented by the total number of subjects with a negative test result, which is 3 (diabetic) + 28 (not diabetic) = 31.

Now, we calculate the probability:

[tex]\[ P(A|B) = \frac{28}{31} \][/tex]

To convert this fraction into a decimal:

[tex]\[ \frac{28}{31} \approx 0.9032258064516129 \][/tex]

Thus, the probability that a randomly selected subject is not diabetic given that their test result is negative is approximately 0.90.

The correct answer is:
D. 0.90