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You have [tex]$800,000 to invest for 90 days. Assume the following:

- The current spot rate of the pound is $[/tex]1.60.
- The 90-day forward rate of the pound is $1.60.
- The 90-day interest rate in the US is 2%.
- The 90-day interest rate in the UK is 4%.

Based on the information above, explain how you can engage in covered interest rate arbitrage and what your proceeds would be.

Sagot :

Certainly! Let’s walk through the detailed steps for engaging in covered interest rate arbitrage with the given data:

### Step 1: Calculate the Proceeds from Investing in the US
First, let's determine the amount we would have after 90 days if we invest the [tex]$800,000 in the US. - Initial Investment: $[/tex]800,000
- Interest Rate: 2% annualized for 90 days
- Interest for 90 days: [tex]\( \frac{90}{360} \times 2\% = 0.5\% \)[/tex]

So, the proceeds after 90 days in the US:
[tex]\[ \text{US Proceeds} = 800,000 \times (1 + 0.005) = 803,999.9999999999 \][/tex]
Thus, the proceeds would be approximately [tex]$804,000. ### Step 2: Convert USD to GBP at the Current Spot Rate Next, convert the initial $[/tex]800,000 to GBP at the current spot rate.

- Spot Rate: 1.60 USD/GBP

[tex]\[ \text{Investment in GBP} = \frac{800,000}{1.60} = 500,000 \text{ GBP} \][/tex]

### Step 3: Invest in the UK and Calculate the Proceeds in GBP
Now, invest the converted amount in the UK at the 4% annual interest rate for 90 days.

- Interest Rate: 4% annualized for 90 days
- Interest for 90 days: [tex]\( \frac{90}{360} \times 4\% = 1\% \)[/tex]

So, the proceeds after 90 days in the UK:
[tex]\[ \text{UK Proceeds in GBP} = 500,000 \times (1 + 0.01) = 505,000 \text{ GBP} \][/tex]

### Step 4: Convert GBP Proceeds Back to USD at the Forward Rate
Finally, convert the proceeds from GBP back to USD at the 90-day forward rate.

- Forward Rate: 1.60 USD/GBP

[tex]\[ \text{UK Proceeds in USD} = 505,000 \times 1.60 = 808,000 \text{ USD} \][/tex]

### Step 5: Calculate the Arbitrage Profit
Now, let's determine the gain from engaging in covered interest rate arbitrage by comparing the proceeds from both investments.

- US Proceeds after 90 days: [tex]$803,999.9999999999 (approximately $[/tex]804,000)
- UK Proceeds after converting back to USD: [tex]$808,000 \[ \text{Arbitrage Profit} = \text{UK Proceeds in USD} - \text{US Proceeds} \] \[ \text{Arbitrage Profit} = 808,000 - 803,999.9999999999 = 4000.0000000001164 \] So, by engaging in covered interest rate arbitrage, your proceeds would be $[/tex]808,000 and the arbitrage profit would be approximately $4,000.