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About 26% of movies coming out of Hollywood are comedies, Warner Bros has been the lead studio for about 13% of recent movies, and about 3% of recent movies are comedies from Warner Bros. Let C denote the event a movie is a comedy and W denote the event a movie is produced by Warner Bros.

Required:
a. What is the probability that a movie is either a comedy or produced by Warner Bros?
b. What is the probability that a Warner Bros movie is a comedy?
c. What is the probability that a comedy has Warner Bros as its producer?

Sagot :

Answer:

a. 0.36 = 36% probability that a movie is either a comedy or produced by Warner Bros.

b. 0.2308 = 23.08% probability that a Warner Bros movie is a comedy

c. 0.1154 = 11.54% probability that a comedy has Warner Bros as its producer

Step-by-step explanation:

Conditional Probability

We use the conditional probability formula to solve this question. It is

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

In which

P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.

[tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is the probability of both A and B happening.

P(A) is the probability of A happening.

a. What is the probability that a movie is either a comedy or produced by Warner Bros?

We solve this question treating these events as Venn sets.

I am going to say that:

Set A: Movie is a comedy.

Set B: Movie is produced by Warner Bros.

26% of movies coming out of Hollywood are comedies

This means that[tex]P(A) = 0.26[/tex]

Warner Bros has been the lead studio for about 13% of recent movies

This means that [tex]P(B) = 0.13[/tex]

3% of recent movies are comedies from Warner Bros.

This means that [tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.03[/tex]

The desired probability is:

[tex]P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) = 0.26 + 0.13 - 0.03 = 0.36[/tex]

0.36 = 36% probability that a movie is either a comedy or produced by Warner Bros.

b. What is the probability that a Warner Bros movie is a comedy?

Conditional probability, in which

Event A: Produced by Warner Bros

Event B: Comedy

Warner Bros has been the lead studio for about 13% of recent movies

This means that [tex]P(A) = 0.13[/tex]

3% of recent movies are comedies from Warner Bros.

This means that [tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.03[/tex]

The desired probability is:

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.03}{0.13} = 0.2308[/tex]

0.2308 = 23.08% probability that a Warner Bros movie is a comedy.

c. What is the probability that a comedy has Warner Bros as its producer?

Now,

Event A: Comedy

Event B: Warner Bros as its producer.

About 26% of movies coming out of Hollywood are comedies

This means that [tex]P(A) = 0.26[/tex]

3% of recent movies are comedies from Warner Bros.

This means that [tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.03[/tex]

The desired probability is:

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.03}{0.26} = 0.1154[/tex]

0.1154 = 11.54% probability that a comedy has Warner Bros as its producer